IJTIMOIY-IQTISODIY BARQARORLIK VA “OVERTURIZM” OMILLARI KONTEKSTIDA HUDUDIY TURISTIK DESTINATSIYALAR ISTIQBOLLARINI BAHOLASH
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18223552Ключевые слова:
turistik destinatsiya, barqaror rivojlanish, overturizm, ijtimoiy-iqtisodiy barqarorlik, ekologik yuklama, prognozlash.Аннотация
Mazkur ilmiy maqola Samarqand shahri misolida hududiy turistik destinatsiyalarning ijtimoiy-iqtisodiy
barqarorligi va overturizm omillarining shakllanishi hamda ularning istiqboldagi rivojlanishga ta’sirini o‘rganishga
bag‘ishlangan. Tadqiqotning dolzarbligi shundaki, turizm oqimining jadal o‘sishi sharoitida ko‘plab tarixiy shaharlarda
barqarorlik va overturizm o‘rtasidagi muvozanatni saqlash muammosi kuchayib bormoqda, biroq Samarqand sharoitida
ushbu jarayonlarni prognozlash va baholashga doir kompleks ilmiy yondashuvlar yetarli darajada ishlab chiqilmagan.
Mazkur bilim bo‘shlig‘ini to‘ldirish maqsadida maqolada statistik tahlil, solishtirma yondashuv, overturizm indeksini
hisoblash hamda logistika o‘sish modeli asosida prognozlash usullari qo‘llanildi. Tadqiqot natijalari Samarqandda
hozirgi vaqtda overturizm to‘liq shakllanmaganini, biroq turistlar zichligi, mavsumiy notekislik va ekologik yuklama ortib
borayotgani sababli o‘rta muddatli istiqbolda xavf darajasi oshishi mumkinligini ko‘rsatdi. Olingan natijalar hududiy turizm
siyosatini ilmiy asosda rejalashtirish, turistlar oqimini boshqarish va barqaror rivojlanish tamoyillarini amaliyotga joriy
etishda muhim ahamiyat kasb etadi hamda tarixiy shaharlarda turizmni boshqarish bo‘yicha strategik qarorlar qabul qilish
uchun amaliy tavsiyalar beradi.
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