THE HIDE AND SHADOW ECONOMY IN UZBEKISTAN

THE HIDE AND SHADOW ECONOMY IN UZBEKISTAN

##article.authors##

  • Abdimurat Koshanov
  • Altingul Abdimuratova

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https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18059103

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taxes, shadow economy, public finances, fiscal mechanism

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This article examines the current state and structural characteristics of the shadow economy in the Republic
of Uzbekistan within the context of ongoing economic reforms and institutional transformation. The shadow economy
is analyzed as a multifaceted phenomenon influenced by regulatory, fiscal, institutional, and socio-economic factors.
Particular attention is given to the scale of informal economic activities and their implications for economic growth, fiscal
sustainability, and social welfare. The study outlines and systematizes methodological approaches used to assess
the size and dynamics of the shadow sector, including indirect macroeconomic methods, indicator-based models, and
comparative analytical techniques applied in international practice. The advantages and limitations of these methods
are discussed in relation to data availability and the specific features of Uzbekistan’s economy. Based on the selected
methodological framework, the article evaluates recent trends in the shadow economy and identifies key drivers
contributing to its persistence. The findings highlight the role of tax policy, regulatory burden, labor market informality,
and institutional quality in shaping the scale of the shadow economy. The study also assesses the impact of government
measures aimed at reducing informality and improving economic transparency. The results of the research may be used
to support evidence-based policymaking, improve statistical measurement of informal activities, and develop targeted
strategies for the gradual legalization of economic activity in the Republic of Uzbekistan

Биографии авторов

Abdimurat Koshanov

“Independent researcher of Tashkent
State Economy of University”

Altingul Abdimuratova

altingulabdimuratova@gmail.com
Teacher at Nukus State Technical University

Библиографические ссылки

Mehrotra, A., & Yetman, J. (2014). Financial Inclusion and Optimal Monetary Policy (BIS Working Paper No. 476). BIS.

Retrieved from https://www.bis.org/publ/work476.pdf

Khan, H. R. (2011, November 4). Financial Inclusion and Financial Stability: Two Sides of the Same Coin? Lecture

presented at BANCON 2011. Retrieved from https://www.bis.org/review/r111229f.pdf

Tombini, A. (2012). Opening Remarks, IV Central Bank Forum on Financial Inclusion, Porto Alegre, October 29.

Mbutor, M. O., & Uba, I. A. (2013). The Impact of Financial Inclusion on Monetary Policy in Nigeria. Journal of

Economics and International Finance, 5(8), 318-326. doi: https://doi.org/10.5897/JEIF2013.0541

Loayza, N. V. (1996). The Economics of the Informal Sector: A Simple Model and Some Empirical Evidence from Latin

America. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 45, 129-162.

Zellner, M. (1970). Self-Evaluation, Perception, and Influence. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 15(1),

-93.

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2025-12-01
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