INVESTITSIYA RISKLARINI BOSHQARISH TIZIMIDAGI MUAMMOLAR VA ULARGA TA’SIR ETUVCHI OMILLAR TAHLILI
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20839828Ключевые слова:
investitsiya riski, risk-menejment, ISO 31000:2018, COSO ERM, CMMI, panel regressiya, texnologik omil, domino effekt, O‘zbekiston ishlab chiqarish sektoriАннотация
Ushbu maqolada O‘zbekiston ishlab chiqarish korxonalarida investitsiya risklarini boshqarish tizimidagi
tarkibiy muammolar va ularni yuzaga keltiruvchi ichki hamda tashqi omillar kompleks tahlil qilinadi. Tadqiqot 87 ta korxona
bo‘yicha 2021–2025-yillar oralig‘ida to‘plangan 522 ta kuzatuvni qamrab olgan panel ma’lumotlar bazasiga asoslanadi.
CMMI v2.0, ISO 31000:2018 mezonlari, panel regressiya modeli (R² = 0,681), GAP-tahlil, SWOT va PESTEL yondashuvlari
qo‘llaniladi. Tahlil natijasida texnologik omilning (β = −0,412) investitsiya risklariga eng kuchli salbiy ta’sir ko‘rsatishi,
CRO institutining barcha 87 ta korxonada yo‘qligi va Domino effekt zanjiri (D-1 → D-7) aniqlandi. Tadqiqot milliy sharoitga
moslashtirilgan 3D-UZIRM modelini ishlab chiqish zaruratini asoslaydi.
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