USING ENGINEERING MODELS TO MEASURE SME RISKS IN UZBEKISTAN

USING ENGINEERING MODELS TO MEASURE SME RISKS IN UZBEKISTAN

Authors

  • Djumabayeva Dilobar Asatillayevna

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19889947

Keywords:

small business, risk assessment, engineering model, external environment, economic variability, system analysis, integrated index

Abstract

Small and medium-sized enterprises in Uzbekistan operate under conditions of economic
variability, ongoing regulatory updates, and evolving market dynamics. At the same time, there is a need to
further enhance effective tools that enable systematic and quantitative assessment of external environmental
factors for these enterprises. This article proposes an engineering-based approach that considers the business
environment as a system consisting of input factors, transformation processes, and output indicators. Within
the study, an integrated risk index is developed, combining economic, institutional, and market factors in a
coherent framework. The methodology is based on system analysis, comparative evaluation of international
indicators, and conceptual modeling. The proposed model facilitates a deeper understanding of environmental
changes and serves as a practical tool for strategic decision-making in small businesses.

Author Biography

Djumabayeva Dilobar Asatillayevna

Independent Researcher of the Department of “Business Administration,”
Tashkent State University of Economics, PhD

References

World Bank. (2025). SME Development and Economic Contribution in Emerging Economies.

Asian Development Bank. (2024). Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises Development in Central Asia.

International Monetary Fund. (2025). Republic of Uzbekistan: Article IV Consultation Report.

World Bank. (2025). Improving Access to Finance for Small Businesses in Uzbekistan.

Thorsten Beck et al. (2005). SME Sensitivity to the External Environment.

Frances J. Milliken (1987). Three Types of Perceived Uncertainty About the Environment: State, Effect, and Response

Uncertainty.

David J. Storey (2016). SME Constraints and Market Vulnerability.

OECD. (2023). Financing SMEs and Entrepreneurs: An OECD Scoreboard.

UNCTAD. (2024). World Investment Report: Investment and SME Development.

Michael E. Porter (2008). The Five Competitive Forces That Shape Strategy.

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Published

2026-04-01
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