O‘ZBEKISTON IQTISODIY O‘SISHGA ERISHISHDA ENERGIYA TIZIMINI RIVOJLANTIRISHNI PROGNOZLASHDA ARIMA MODELIDAN FOYDALANISH
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19371319Keywords:
ARIMA modeli, prognozlash, energiya tizimi, iqtisodiy o‘sish, vaqt qatori, energiya iste’moli, ekonometrik tahlil, YAIM.Abstract
Mazkur maqolada O‘zbekistonda energiya tizimini rivojlantirish va uning iqtisodiy o‘sishga ta’sirini
prognozlashda ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) modelidan foydalanishning nazariy va amaliy jihatlari
tadqiq etiladi. Tadqiqotda energiya iste’moli, elektr energiyasi ishlab chiqarish hajmi hamda ularning YAIMga ta’siri vaqt
qatori asosida tahlil qilinadi. ARIMA modeli yordamida energiya ko‘rsatkichlarining kelgusi dinamikasi prognoz qilinib,
iqtisodiy o‘sishga ta’siri baholanadi. Natijalar energiya tizimini modernizatsiya qilish va samarali boshqarish iqtisodiy
o‘sishni rag‘batlantirishda muhim omil ekanligini ko‘rsatadi
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